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That’s why the blobs are more diffuse when experts are compared with each other than when they’re compared with Cellar Tracker. That might sound odd, but out of thousands of wines we analyzed, only a handful contradicted this pattern. It’s possible all those enthusiasts on Cellar Tracker already knew what Robert Parker and other experts said about each wine and just parroted their scores.Simply put, if you want to know what the experts think, the best place to look appears to be, of all places, Cellar Tracker. That said, when you consider that a 2007 Seghesio Family Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County was rated 1,406 times on Cellar Tracker, for an average score of 90.5, does it really seem likely that 1) they had all read the expert scores, and b) they were consciously or unconsciously swayed as a result?In science, this kind of study is called “observational” — you may be able to tease out a relationship, but you won’t know why it’s there.For example, if it turns out the experts and enthusiasts differ significantly in their estimation of wine quality, this does not necessarily mean the experts possess a more refined or objective understanding of wine. We discovered something altogether more interesting. So let’s start with the big question: How do the wine enthusiasts compare with the experts? Have a look: There are 9,119 dots on this diagram — one dot for each wine rated by both Cellar Tracker and Wine Advocate.

Before we say anything more about the results, it’s worth considering what this sort of comparison can and cannot accomplish.

We did this because California presumably represents a more homogeneous group of wines than would a mix of regions.

But we don’t know if the relationship we observed applies to other wine-producing countries or regions, like Spain, Chile, Burgundy, and Oregon.

Compared with the paid professionals — who very often evaluate wines blind — they are untrained, are subject to bias, and lack expertise. We decided to test the hypothesis by comparing community wine reviews for California wines from 2014 or earlier with those of professionals by running a simple correlation — a common data analysis tool.

For the professional scores, we purchased memberships to three sites: Wine Advocate (Robert Parker’s site), International Wine Cellar, and Jancis Robinson.

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The larger the number of enthusiasts, the more the scores match those of the experts.

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